上海环城绿带社会-生态-经济绩效耦合协调特征和影响机制研究
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同济大学建筑与城市规划学院

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国家自然科学基金项目“大都市边缘区乡村景观冲突风险数智诊断、模拟调控与整体性治理研究——以上海市乡村地区为例”(编号:52578095)


Study on the Coupling and Coordination Characteristics and Influencing Mechanisms of Social-Ecological-Economic Performance of Shanghai’s Greenbelt
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College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Tongji University

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    摘要:

    环城绿带在高密度城市中正由生态隔离和增长边界转向兼具生态安全、公共服务与绿色价值转化的复合绿色空间。以上海环城绿带及其周边2 km影响范围为研究区,构建社会-生态-经济绩效评价指标体系,综合采用耦合协调模型与空间统计方法,评估环城绿带绩效协调格局及其影响机制。结果表明:研究区耦合协调度均值为0.619,整体以中度协调和基本协调为主,高度协调区域较少。耦合协调度呈显著空间集聚特征,低协调冷点与经济绩效偏低及转化不足区域高度关联。三类绩效中,经济绩效明显滞后,且经济绩效障碍主导面积占比达85.59%,表明绿色空间价值转化不充分是制约高水平协同的主要因素。影响机制分析表明,环城绿带绩效协调不足主要源于“生态供给-社会使用-价值转化”链条衔接不畅。环城绿带优化应在生态底线约束下,统筹提升绿带可达性、完善公共服务与慢行系统连通、适度培育休闲服务,促进社会-生态-经济绩效协同提升。

    Abstract:

    The greenbelt is transforming from an ecological isolation and growth boundary to a composite green space that combines ecological security, public services, and green value transformation in high-density cities. Taking the greenbelt in Shanghai and its 2-kilometer surrounding area as the research area, a social-ecological-economic performance evaluation index system was constructed. Coupled with the coupling coordination model and spatial statistical methods, the performance coordination pattern and influencing mechanism of the greenbelt were evaluated. The results showed that the mean coupling coordination degree of the study area was 0.619, with the overall coordination mainly being moderate and basic, while highly coordinated areas are relatively few. The coupling coordination degree showed significant spatial clustering characteristics, and the low-coordination coldspots were highly correlated with areas of low economic performance that lagged significantly, and the area dominated by economic performance obstacles accounted for 85.59%. This indicates that insufficient green space value transformation is the main factor restricting high-level coordination. The analysis of the influencing mechanism indicates that the insufficient performance coordination of the greenbelt mainly stems from the poor connection of the "ecological supply-social use-value transformation" chain. The optimization of the greenbelt should be carried out under the constraint of ecological bottom lines, with a focus on enhancing the accessibility of the greenbelt, improving the connection of public services and pedestrian systems, moderately cultivating leisure services, and promoting the coordinated improvement of social-ecological-economic performance.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-06-20
  • 最后修改日期:2026-07-25
  • 录用日期:2026-07-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-08-14
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